What is the future • As the length of time increases since the last large Alpine Fault movement the risk? continuous pressure build-up will result in a larger earthquake occurring. Human Pandemic Overview Marlborough like the rest of NZ faces the same risk of a human pandemic arriving on our doorstep from overseas. A human pandemic would cause widespread disruption to all areas of society if initial preventative measures are unsuccessful. While other strategies are deployed there could be widespread illness in the community. Hazard Likelihood Hazard likelihood is very high (C) • As international travel increases along with visitor numbers to NZ increasing the risk of a pandemic increases. • Emergence of infectious disease profiles such as SARS and MERS no longer limited to outside of NZ with Travel times being reduced. • Recent pandemic 2009 highlighted the risk with NZ based travellers. Hazard Social: Consequence (5) • Very High – Will have impact across the whole sector through illness and workplace Built: • Low- will not affect built environment, may have related effect to delayed maintenance from illness Economic: • High – Very High – Could affect local and regional economies through increased illness and downturn in production/workplace from reduced workforce. Downturn in tourism to area would be noticeable. Risk to seasonal workers would affect vineyards ( economic impact) Natural: • Low- No effect on natural environment other than short term neglect to managed areas from reduced workforce capacity How do we • The New Zealand Ministry of Health has a NZ Influenza Pandemic Action Plan manage this risk? (NZIPAP) that was tested and updated from the 2009 pandemic. • Ministry of Health and DHB Public Health teams work together on pandemic planning and use Emergency Management Information System (EMIS ) to manage information and communication . • Nelson Marlborough Health has a Pandemic plan based on NZIPAP • Nelson Marlborough Health has a an early warning influenza action group What more • Continue awareness through Readiness and Response group and CEG should we be doing? What is the future • As with any disease profile it is impossible to fully mitigate the risk of another pandemic occurring in NZ. However with the NZIPAP and its strategies along with Marlborough Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2017-2022 Page 91