What more • Oil spill response is well funded and resourced with regular training sessions should we be however more can be done to better align oil spill response with emergency doing? response networks. • Consideration should be given to a regular regional exercise for mass rescue (5 yearly) with a focus on developing a coordinated local response that aligns with the national plan. • Consideration of capabilities in regard to responding to a large ship-board fire occurring in Picton or the Sounds. Specific concerns exist around this issue in relation to the significant quantities of dangerous goods carried by ferries. What is the future • Cruise ship numbers are likely to increase as is the size of cruise vessels. risk? Similarly ferries are expected to increase in size and passenger capacity. The size of bulk carries is trending up and it is likely that the region will eventually attract a wider range of vessels including container ships. This growth in shipping movements and vessel carrying capacity equals growing risk. • The probability of an accident is likely to remain low. Ship numbers are increasing but methods of mitigating risk are also improving. Animal Epidemic Overview Marlborough’s economy and society is driven by primary industries such as viticulture, farming, fishing and forestry. With respect to farming in particular, an animal epidemic such as foot-and-mouth disease that affects cloven-hoofed animals would have a significant impact on Marlborough and the country as a whole. Hazard Likelihood • As trade dynamics change and trade volumes increase there is increased pressure (D) on the biosecurity system to mitigate risk • Forecasted growth in passenger arrivals and changing dynamics have significant implications for biosecurity • Stringent border Import Health Standards enforced by the Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) with respect to animal products reduces the likelihood of diseases entering on animal products. Hazard Social: Consequence (5) • An animal epidemic in livestock, particularly cattle, would have a significant impact on society. The potential loss of native avifauna would also significantly affect social and cultural values. Economic: • An animal epidemic would have extremely significant impacts on primary sector production and in some cases could result in 100% production loss. There could also be losses with respect to tourism if avian in origin. Built • Most biosecurity threats will not impact on the built environment Natural Environment: • Depending on the disease, impacts on native fauna would vary. If livestock- related, impacts would be nil given the lack of NZ native cloven-hooved animals. If Marlborough Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2017-2022 Page 94