Section 7: Assumptions/Uncertainties/Risks Section 7: Assumptions/Uncertainties/Risks 7.1 Change in the Social, Environmental and Economic Priorities Facing Marlborough The Council continues to monitor the trends and issues faced by the community. The community planning process identifies the community outcomes and priorities for the future. Review of this AMP will take any relevant changes to long term community planning into consideration. 7.2 Growth Assumptions Council has made assumptions about the increase in population over the next 20 years. Some fluctuations above and below the forecast rates can be expected, but any sustained variation to the initial assumption may affect the following: 7.3 Capital Expenditure Timing Income from the Land Subdivision Reserve Fund may vary annually depending on economic and population growth. Council intends to moderate these affects by reviewing the capital works and development contribution schedules annually as part of the allocation process. 7.4 Changes in Council Direction following Triennial Elections Changes in the make-up of democratic representation may result in changes in agreement on the best response to meeting community needs. This may alter the priority given to particular development initiatives or capital works. Similarly forecasts are based on the assumption that there will be no significant changes to management practices. 7.5 Capital Costing Contract costs will rise only in line with general inflation and all capital costs are shown in 2015 dollars. 7.6 Asset Renewal Assets are scheduled to be renewed at a time when we estimate their useful physical and economic life is coming to an end. However, if some assets require renewal earlier than expected, or outlast their forecast lifespan, then capital expenditure will be forced to change as a result and the Council will need to absorb these changes to financial requirements. Page 73