Marlborough District Council Roading Assets - Activity Management Plan 2015 - 2018 SECTION 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.4.7 Future Demand Impacts The preceding information has been used to forecast demand on the road network. Reference should also be made to the Levels of Service section and the Financial Forecasts in this Activity Management Plan to understand the full implications of the demand issue. 1.4.7.1 Future Demand Influences and Impacts Influence Explanation Impacts Change to Level of Service Population growth 1.7% total increase expected In line with expected trends None specifically but an between 2013 – 2021 with impacts on roading increase in asset quantity capacity, safety issues and through new developments multi modal transportation Car ownership Increase generally in line with Increase in % owning >2 Increase in demand with population growth. cars? Decrease in short capacity issues such as distance travel with increase increased seal widths to in walking & cycling? cater for increased traffic New Developments Increase in roading asset with new Additional asset to maintain None with all required to roads from subdivisions and other meet Council’s Code of developments Practice Changing Demographics Aging population requires Increase in LoS for Increase in LoS of footpaths improved pedestrian facilities pedestrian facilities and and kerb/road crossings. passenger services Current Land Use patterns Industrial land development Pressure to develop Increase in demand with change demands additional areas in areas not capacity issues such as zoned as industrial. Eg. increased pavement Spring Creek. Wide spread strengths required, seal impacts on road capacity widths and intersection and safety. improvements to cater for increased traffic Commercial developments Pressure to develop Increase in demand with demands additional areas in areas not capacity issues such as zoned as commercial. eg. increased pavement recent zoning change to strengths required, seal Springlands. Wide spread widths and intersection impacts on road capacity improvements to cater for and safety. increased traffic Residential land development Pressure to develop Increase in demand with demands additional areas in areas not capacity issues such as zoned as residential. eg. intersection improvements recent zoning change to to cater for increased traffic Springlands. Wide spread impacts on road capacity and safety. Future Land Viticulture development Minor impact during Increase in demand with developments development, increased capacity issues such as traffic flows for workers, increased pavement seasonal peaks, foreign strengths required, seal workers, grape spills, widths and intersection headland requirements. improvements to cater for increased traffic Forestry Extraction Significant increase in HCV Increase in demand with loadings. capacity issues such as Potential HV Productivity increased pavement Project could increase HCV strengths and bridge loadings with issue with loadings required, and seal bridge loadings. widths to cater for increased traffic 30 September 2014 Page 23 of Section 1